There are no hard and fast rules in orchid growing, as there are simply too many variables that can differ grower-to-grower, in their individual environments.
That said, my general practice is to go slightly larger.
If you have a decent quality LECA that wicks well, over potting becomes much less of a concern, as the uniform distribution of the moisture prevents the formation of a "soppy" core, right in the middle of the root zone.
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