Quote:
Originally Posted by Keysguy
Ugh! This tropical depression 13 has me spooked. Looks like it's headed directly at our place in the Keys.
I need to leave NH today if I'm driving (32 hours in car) or tomorrow if I fly and with covid, I really hate to have to get into an airplane.
Mentally I had set TS winds of 50 as top end of leaving shade house up with plants in it and current forecast is right on that threshold.
Going to engage with some of my friends down there today and get the local skuttlebutt before I make a decision. This is the major stressor on my long distance gardening. I HATE mid-August thru mid- Sept.
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HUGE disclaimer- i don't want you to ever base your decision off me or think that anything i say is worth a penny more than you paid for it.
I am also very conservative about hurricanes bc i have lived here 38 years and had my home and life completely destroyed and rebuilt...
three factors i decide on to make these calls.
1) when would you be coming back otherwise? is ti months early and you are going back to NH or are you going to stay in the keys; basically, what is the COST of the action
2) what are you estimating the current setup can handle? in both wind speed and time without automation in the event of a power outage and storm surge?
3) how heavily can you lean on the friends you have in the keys? can you simply ask your neighbor to remove the hanging plants and take them to their house? can they place them in your downstairs area you previously described?
then think about how quickly you can get down AFTER the storm if you decide to sit it out...it may be headed north which would prevent you leaving and they usually close the Keys in a heart beat unless you have a keys DL.
given the track now i think it will be mostly TS strength winds for you and me and possibly inching into the hurricane range. i do NOT bring my plants in at that point. if it is the other end of the Cat 1 i will but not this side.
I see the track as giving us the north and some west side of the storm, typically drier and so that allays a tiny bit of storm surge concern but a little wiggle changes that. If you can get your friends to do a little prep for you then i'd sit it out (DO NOT FLY, PLEASE) but if they are away or too busy.....maybe buy some coffee and corn nuts and gas up the ride
---------- Post added at 09:40 AM ---------- Previous post was at 09:38 AM ----------
you know as well as i do that it is simply too early to tell...
are you feeling conservative or are you feeling lucky....?