Survival odds of compot in transit 10 days

[Jayfar]

So I ordered:

Phal. cornu-cervi fma. chattaladae ('Orchidgrove' CHM/AOS x 'Chinaithorn') 3 plant compot

It's now 10 days in transit by USPS Priority Mail® and may arrive today. The vendor has already refunded my purchase and advised me to refuse the package un-opened. I was thinking of accepting the package, if it arrives today, and paying the vendor again. What do you suppose the odds are of the seedlings surviving? This was the vendor's last compot of chattaladae.

I hate Priority Mail®, but some vendors just don't do Fedex.

Your item arrived at 7:17 am on October 21, 2011 in PHILADELPHIA, PA 19146. Information, if available, is updated periodically throughout the day. Please check again later.


Detailed Results:

Arrival at Unit, October 21, 2011, 7:17 am, PHILADELPHIA, PA 19146
Processed through USPS Sort Facility, October 20, 2011, 9:25 pm, PHILADELPHIA, PA 19116
Processed through USPS Sort Facility, October 14, 2011, 8:55 pm, AMARILLO, TX 79120
Processed through USPS Sort Facility, October 12, 2011, 12:07 am, HONOLULU, HI 96820
Electronic Shipping Info Received, October 10, 2011

Fortunately, I do have another nice chattaladae seedling I received recently from Olympic Orchids, but I wanted to have several of them to hedge my bets.