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It seems like growing bloom size orchids from seedling plants is like gambling...even when you get them from a respected grower. How many seedlings do you grow before you get something a big box store would sell? How many do you grow to get a show quality plant? Is it roughly 50, 100 or 1000 seedlings? I have Potinaras grown from seed by a respected grower and am curious about the "odds" of getting a good looking bloom.
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I have a lot of seedlings. Most of which are of new crosses. All of which are from reputable growers and breeders (Santa Barbara Orchid Estate and Steven Christoffersen).
Am I taking a gamble, yes. However, the crosses I'm buying are made from award winning parents and from people who know what they're doing. So, it's not a blind gamble, it's a calculated one.
I don't buy flasks anymore--I simply don't have the setup or time. But, I do buy healthy-sized seedlings. Oh, I'd say I have about 30-40 of them. I'm probably not going to like all of them, or maybe even most of them. But, taking care of seedlings is way different than taking care of adults. So, they are a valuable learning tool.
I don't ever EVER EVER buy from big box stores.