I would disagree that sphagnum has a long shelf life. I believe it should be changed about once a year.
If you bought your orchids in spagh and haven't taken them out of the pot yet, it's really hard to tell what's going on. The sphag could have been new or old when you bought it, plus some growers cram so much in there that the roots are bound to rot and other's don't.
I suggest you unpot and look at the roots to see if there is rotting going on, and if so, give them some fresh sphag.
Do you grow indoors or outside?
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